Saturday, July 26, 2008

Marlins-Cubs Pointspread Pointers

The Florida Marlins and the Chicago Cubs will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Wrigley Field.

Righthander Chris Volstad will take the mound for the Marlins to start this game. Volstad is 1-1 this season with a 2.45 ERA.

Volstad's opponent in this one will be Rich Harden. The Cubs righthander has a 2.12 ERA to go along with a 5-2 record this season.

NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Cubs listed as 250-moneyline favorites versus the Marlins, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Jeremy Hermida belted a home run in the ninth to give the Marlins a 3-2 victory over the Cubs on Friday, as +165 underdogs. The game's five runs went UNDER the day's posted over/under (9.5).

Hanley Ramirez went 2-for-5 at the plate with a run scored for the Marlins. Justin Miller got the win in relief, and Kevin Gregg closed out the ninth for his 21st save.

Reed Johnson and Geovany Soto went deep in a losing effort for the Cubs, who were favored at -185 in that game. Bob Howry surrendered the winning run and was tagged with the loss.

Team records:
Florida: 54-49 SU
Chicago: 60-43 SU

Florida most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 3-7
Before playing Chi Cubs are 6-4
After playing Chi Cubs are 9-1
After a win are 5-5

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing Florida are 3-7
After playing Florida are 1-9
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Florida is 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
Florida is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Florida's last 18 games on the road
Florida is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 20-5 SU in their last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Chi Cubs's last 23 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Chi Cubs's last 22 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games

Next up:
Chi Cubs home to Florida, Sunday, July 27

 

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