NCAA Football Handicapping: Michigan vs Michigan State

The fans at Spartan Stadium will be treated to a game between the Michigan Wolverines and the Michigan State Spartans when they take their seats on Saturday. Oddsmakers currently have the Spartans listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Wolverines, while the game's total has not yet been posted. Tate Forcier's 26-yard pass to Martavious Odoms with 2:29 left lifted Michigan to a 36-33 win over Indiana in Week 4. The Wolverines failed to cover as heavy 18-point favorites, while the final score played OVER the day's posted total of 53.5. Both Kirk Cousins and Keith Nichol threw two touchdown passes for Michigan State in a 38-30 loss to Wisconsin in Week 4. The Spartans did not cover the 1.5-point spread, while the final score played OVER the day's posted total of 52.5. Current streak: Michigan has won 4 straight games. Michigan State has lost 3 straight games. Team records: Michigan: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS Michigan State: 1-3 SU, 1-2 ATS Michigan most recently: When playing in October are 6-4 When playing on grass are 5-5 After being outgained are 4-6 When playing within the conference are 3-7 Michigan State most recently: When playing in October are 5-5 When playing on grass are 5-5 After outgaining opponent are 6-4 When playing within the conference are 7-3 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 7 of Michigan's last 8 games on the road Michigan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Michigan State The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Michigan Michigan State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan Michigan State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Michigan Next up: Michigan at Iowa, Saturday, October 10 Michigan State at Illinois, Saturday, October 10