Tuesday, February 13, 2007

Tuesday Computer Trends

Tuesday, February 13, 2007

 

Congrats to everyone who swept with GodsTips.com Game of the Year, 1-31 NBA Toronto more than doubling the spread to Washington and yesterday Texas -7 winning by 29 for the CBB version.  The top cappers at OffshoreInsiders.com  

CBB

·        Butler is 8-1 the last nine

·        Old Dominion-Hofstra series under 6-of-7

·        Kentucky is 10-2 on the road

·        Penn 7-2 to Princeton

·        Canisius is 1-6 at home

·        Missouri State is 8-1 versus Southern Illinois

·        TCU is 1-8 their last nine

·        Oklahoma 0-10 road opponent called for 17 or fewer fouls per game

 

NBA

·        Toronto under 11-1 after 3 straight spread wins

·        Houston is 22-42 at home

·        New Jersey is 17-5 overall

·        San Antonio 9-1 to New Jersey

·        Chicago 14-1 to Toronto

 

 

Monday, February 12, 2007

GOY Easy!

You were right.  You figured our College Game of the Year wouldn’t be as easy as our NBA Game of the Year when on Jan. 31 Toronto -4.5 beat Washington by 10 to cash the ticket.  Instead it was infinitely easier. Our College Basketball Game of the Year on Texas -7, all they do is WIN THE GAME BY 29 POINTS. GodsTips.com Game of the Year wins easy, so does Georgetown.  This is the kind of information you get every day at Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com

 

CBB

 

Wise Guy…

 

TEXAS -7 Oklahoma State

 

College Basketball Game of the Year

 

Oklahoma State has been getting destroyed on the road, getting crushed in all four real road games by an average of 16.75 points. Now they are getting less than half of that from a squad crushing teams at home by an 85.6-64.7 margin.

 

Remember, a young Texas team took Oklahoma State, not only to the wire, but beyond that at Oklahoma State.  They lost one of the great games this year in the closing seconds of triple overtime. Now they get them on their own court.

 

State is fact is off an emotional and tiring home overtime win two days ago. Remember, Texas starts four freshman, so they are better late in the year and at home. They had a five point lead late in triple OT to this same team on the road, so we look for them to continue OSU’s road misery tonight.

 

GEORGETOWN -9.5 West Virginia

 

West Virginia is in a letdown situation fresh off an upset of the No. 1 team in the country.  In fact, Tonight’s game is the final one in a brutal three-game stretch for West Virginia against nothing but ranked teams. The Mountaineers lost at home to No. 7 Pitt on Wednesday, 60-47.

 

Problem is UCLA had two key injuries and lack depth. They face a Georgetown team playing at home and in the midst of a seven game winning streak by a 15.6 margin.

 

While Georgetown played through a stretch early in the season in which the Hoyas looked very average (losing at home to Old Dominion and Oregon), lately this has been arguably the best team in the league. Georgetown’s eight wins include victims like Notre Dame, Louisville and Marquette and the Hoyas have won seven in a row since a five-point loss at Pitt.  

 

Major….

 

PORTLAND +5.5 St. Mary’s

 

Portland has two road wins, while Portland has six home wins. The Gaels have lost three straight and 4-of-5.

 

GEORGIA SOUTHERN +6.5 Furman

 

This is one of the top sharp versus squares games.  That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.  We go with the sharp money.

 

Monday Computer Trends

Monday, February 12, 2007

GodsTips.com College Basketball Game of the Year at OffshoreInsiders.com  

NBA

·        Golden State under 21-9 this year  revenging a loss

·        Utah under 19-5 off consecutive conference games

·        LA Clippers 3-15 as a dog this year

·        Detroit 1-10 home opponent averages seven or less steals

·        Atlanta is 0-8 after allowing 100 or more points in 2 straight games

 

CBB

·        Davidson is 11-2 with a total in the 140s this year

·        Georgetown 7-0-1 run

·        West Virginia 5-1 at Georgetown

·        Pepperdine 2-8 run

 

Monday GodsTips.com

Monday, February 12, 2007

CBB GAME OF THE YEAR, 6-2 SUNDAY, 19-6 RECENT RUN, WG SWEEP, 62-39 ALL WG

On Jan. 31, we released Toronto an easy blowout winner as our NBA Game of the Year. Tonight, on ESPN, we have our College Basketball Game of the Year, a pick since our Cadillac Club scorephone days, we’ve hit 21-of-26. We went 6-2 Sunday, 14-4 the last two days, 19-6 the last four.  Going back to college football, we are 62-39 with all Wise Guy plays, including a sweep on Maryland and the Trail Blazers in cakewalks yesterday.,

4-0 includes two Wise Guy plays led by the CBB Game of the Year! You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NBA

Atlanta-Utah OVER 194.5

We look for the Hawks to push up the pace knowing they have played their best in face paced games. They are 7-0 when they’ve scored 100 or more points. Meanwhile Utah is off a five game stretch in which they’ve given up 102.2 points per game and scored 104.8. Overall, their games are averaging over 200 for the year.

Both teams are hot and both because they’ve whomped it up on offense.  So each team is totally motivated to open it up.

Sunday, February 11, 2007

Sports Gambling Watch List; Week Beginning 2-12-07

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

Sharp players examine our daily news and notes on OffshoreInsiders.com.  Among the other crib sheets we compile in-house are our pro-active sports gambling “Watch Lists”. These are nuggets to look for based on drastic changes and recent trends by specific teams. Most importantly, we analyze how the teams and oddsmakers will adapt accordingly.

Update: Gonzaga 6-foot-11 forward Josh Heytvelt has been suspended following an arrest. One of the leading candidates for West Coast Conference player of the year, Heytvelt is averaging 15.5 points per game and 7.7 rebounds.

Insight:  Initially Gonzaga will be a go-against especially after the short-term rally-around-adversity reaches the point of diminishing return. The Zags will be a bubble-team (meaning more pressure) without their key cog.  This is a classic go-against proposition in particular when the Bulldogs play against teams in pure spoiler roles. Interpretation: underdogs looking for a defining win in an “everything to gain, nothing to lose” contest. 

However, we look for the suspension to be short-lived as Heytvelt is too important. Teams with dominant big men do the best in conference play and the Big Dance (Florida last year, North Carolina and Illinois two years ago headline many examples). They again will be a dark horse if he returns and the Zags make the NCAA.

Update: Pacers continue to play up or down to the competition. Through Sunday Feb. 11 action, they are just 14-13 SU to teams with a .500 or worse record, seven of the losses at home. They are getting key swingman Marquis Daniels back.

Insight: This is what we preach: the best “splits” are from teams that are not affected by home court advantage, plus the Pacers are like we so often say “predictably unpredictable”. Pending other factors, we look to lean going with them against quality teams on the highway. Daniels is a guy, whose contribution will sneak under the radar, meaning often just inside the number.

Prior to his injury, he played his best basketball, averaging 13.2 points in 27 minutes in the five games before missing action.

Update: The UCLA real-time injury report is crucial for all sports bettors. They face a key road trip to Arizona and Arizona State and may be without starting center Lorenzo Mata and point guard Darren Collison.

Insight: The Bruins will be very vulnerable if they are with devoid of either starter. Freshman Russell Westbrook played miserably filling in for Collison, while Ryan Wright and Alfred Aboya proved to be a huge drop-off from Mata. The depth-challenged Bruins will likely lose both road games, yes even against Arizona State, if both of their starters are absent.

Update: Detroit is 10-2 SU with Chris Webber in the line-up. He has three double-doubles.

Insight: Ride Detroit against quality teams, especially on the road.  Webber is playing in a honeymoon period that will likely last through the playoffs. Rejuvenated underachievers are a component we’ve exploited over the years. Also in the “90 percent of the game is half-mental” aspect, Detroit has convinced themselves lightning has struck twice. Detroit got Rasheed Wallace midseason 2004 en route to a championship and there are a lot of parallels to the current situation.  

Joe Duffy is Senior Handicapper at GodsTips.com. His 18-hour days during the college postseason and the dividends it’s paid for clients have earned him the monikers of “Mr. March” and “the Lord of the Dance”. Get his free gambling news and notes at OffshoreInsiders.com   

Sample GodsTips.com Report

 

Joe Duffy’s GodsTips

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play.  Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays.

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NBA

 

Wise Guy…

 

TENNESSEE -4.5 Vanderbilt

 

The No. 23 Commodores (16-7, 6-3 SEC East) are 3-4 away from home, while the Volunteers (16-8, 4-5 East) are 12-0 on their home court, posting wins over Memphis, Texas, Georgia and most recently, 70-67 over LSU on Tuesday.

 

Leading scored Chris Lofton is back for Tennessee and a game under his belt and returns for a home game. We look for them to remain undefeated at home. 

 

MISSISSIPPI -5 Alabama

 

Alabama has just two road wins. Ole Miss has had six days to prepare for this one. The Rebels, who are 11-1 at home, have won two straight and three of their last four, including last Saturday's road win at then West leader Auburn to snap an 11-game road SEC losing streak.

 

Ole Miss is peaking now because they did take time to adjust to a new coach and a new system, but it all has worked out great.

 

This is not the Alabama that was ranked in the top five for much of the season. Point Ronald Steele has been injured, center Jermareo Davidson has struggled at times and the Tide has been vulnerable.

 

Even their three-game streak has been built on narrow come-from-behind victories, including a last-shot 80-79 win over Mississippi State on Wednesday.

 

Not only did the Rebels have an off week, allowing more preparation for Alabama than most teams get, but the Crimson Tide next plays top-ranked Florida a game that could draw their attention away from Oxford.

 

Perhaps more importantly, the Rebels used a little of their free time to work on themselves.

 

``We got a little head start on (preparing for) them, but the first couple of days it was a lot of looking at ourselves and things we could do to give our kids a better chance to be successful and also to really show them a lot of tapes of ourselves so we could make some improvements,'' Ole Miss coach Andy Kennedy said.

 

The Rebels also have a little more motivation than usual.

 

``With one more win we'll guarantee ourselves a winning season and we don't have anybody on our team that has experienced that at a Division I level,'' Kennedy said. ``With that comes some understanding that it takes a little bit of time, but I've been really pleased with our guys and their attitudes and their ability to continue to grow as a group.''

 

KENTUCKY +4.5 Florida

 

Yes Florida is the only undefeated road team in the SEC but coach Billy Donovan has pointed out the difficulty of the road ahead for Florida: At Kentucky, at Vanderbilt, at LSU and at Tennessee. He called the rest of the season "maybe the most difficult and challenging second half we've ever had since I've been here."

 

This marks the third time a UK opponent has brought the No. 1 ranking into Rupp Arena. The Wildcats defeated top-ranked Indiana, 69-58, during the 1979-80 season. The most recent No. 1 to visit the Bluegrass was Florida in February 2003. UK used a blistering defensive attack to down the Gators, 70-55, in the Wildcats last matchup with a top-ranked foe.

 

In SEC play, Kentucky and Florida are either first or second in scoring offense, scoring defense, field goal percentage and field goal percentage defense. Yet we have a road favorite in one of the toughest arenas to win in the world.

 

GEORGETOWN -7.5 Marquette

 

We just don’t see Marquette having an answer for Georgetown’s inside game. As Marquette looks to extend their Big East winning streak, they can expect a more hostile crowd than usual as the Hoyas celebrate "100 Years of College Basketball" and will be announcing the Georgetown Basketball All-Century team.

 

Combining the Hoya’s offensive efficiency and defensive proficiency has led to a scoring margin of +11.1 ppg, which is tied for first in the conference with Pittsburgh. (MU ranks a distant third at +4.8 ppg.). That difference is overall, but now Marquette heads to the road where of course the difference is more pronounced.

 

WRIGHT STATE +4 Butler

 

Wright State is hot; slightly more rested and has done well in the series.  But they are the home underdog. With six straight victories, this could be the first WSU team to win seven straight since the 1990-91 team. Although the Raiders lost to Butler by 31 the last time they played, WSU won six of the previous seven games against the Bulldogs. Only one of those games was decided by more than eight points.

 

 

Major…

 

LOUISIANA TECH +9 Hawaii

 

This is one of the top sharp versus squares games.  That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.  We go with the sharp money.

 

LOYOLA CHICAGO +2.5 Wisconsin Green Bay

 

This is one of the top sharp versus squares games.  That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.  We go with the sharp money.

 

NEBRASKA +6.5 Texas A&M

 

Saturday's trip to Nebraska looks like a trap. Sandwiched between emotional games against Texas and Texas Tech (on Feb. 13), it's not a stretch to think the Aggies might not be as focused for a frigid trip to Lincoln. A&M's three losses have been on the road, and Nebraska (14-8, 3-5) isn't bad - especially at home, where the Huskers are 9-2.

 

A year slowed by injuries has seen Nebraska coach Doc Sadler making adjustments, even slowing down the tempo.  The Huskers have responded with two huge road wins at Missouri and Texas Tech in their last two contests.

 

MIAMI FLORIDA +1.5 NC State

 

North Carolina State found ways to overcome an extremely short bench in its recent wins against Virginia Tech and North Carolina.

 

But after looking worn out in the final minutes of a loss to Georgia Tech, coach Sidney Lowe might have to start worrying a little more about how much his players have left in the tank.

With five players averaging more than 30 minutes per game, the first-year coach said Friday he has resorted to shortening practices to save his players’ legs. He’s also hoping to find more contributors off the bench heading into today’s game at Miami.

 

“They’ve never complained,” Lowe said. “They’ve just continued to fight and dig and believe in themselves. It’s something where ... we are who we are. You just strap it up and go.”

 

Four players have accounted for 82 percent of NC State’s points.  Late in the year and on the road, it will catch up to them.

 

This is a big sandwich game.  State stunned Virginia Tech and UNC only to give up 18 straight points and lose to GA Tech.  Now Maryland and a rematch with VA Tech are on the horizon, so this is a super tough spot.

 

NBA

 

Wise Guy…

 

Denver-Milwaukee OVER

 

We do post the system as written and the database does count the system twice because in theory it applies to both teams. It is still statistically significant. When both teams are hitting less than 33 percent from three-point range, it has gone over 1026-776.

 

Saturday, February 10, 2007

Sunday GodsTips

Sunday, February 11, 2007

60-39 RECENT WISE GUY RUN, 8-2 L 10, 8-2 NBA WG, SUNDAY NBA AND CBB WISE GUY PLAYS

America’s Greatest remains America’s hottest. With one game pending in Hawaii, we are 13-3 the last three days. Late steam is inclusive in the price which is sent upon completion later in the morning. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.  

CBB

WASHINGTON -3 Stanford

Stanford is in the midst of a tough three-game road trip, off a loss and 3-3 their last six on the road SU. Washington is 14-1 at home. Stanford has lost its last four road games against Washington (15-8, 5-7), a team which has played much better recently with four wins in its past five games.

 

Sunday GodsTips

Sunday, February 11, 2007

60-39 RECENT WISE GUY RUN, 8-2 L 10, 8-2 NBA WG, SUNDAY NBA AND CBB WISE GUY PLAYS

America’s Greatest remains America’s hottest. With one game pending in Hawaii, we are 13-3 the last three days. Late steam is inclusive in the price which is sent upon completion later in the morning. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.  

CBB

WASHINGTON -3 Stanford

Stanford is in the midst of a tough three-game road trip, off a loss and 3-3 their last six on the road SU. Washington is 14-1 at home. Stanford has lost its last four road games against Washington (15-8, 5-7), a team which has played much better recently with four wins in its past five games.

 

Saturday GodsTips

Saturday, February 10, 2007

 

3-1 LAST NIGHT, 29-18 RECENT CBB WG INCLUDES ST. PETER’S LAST NIGHT, 6 WG AMONG 10 WINNERS

 

America’s Greatest continues to tear up the books, including 3-1 yesterday. Get five college Wise Guy plays, one in the NBA among 10 winners. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.   

 

CBB

 

MIAMI FLORIDA +1.5 NC State

 

North Carolina State found ways to overcome an extremely short bench in its recent wins against Virginia Tech and North Carolina.

 

But after looking worn out in the final minutes of a loss to Georgia Tech, coach Sidney Lowe might have to start worrying a little more about how much his players have left in the tank.

With five players averaging more than 30 minutes per game, the first-year coach said Friday he has resorted to shortening practices to save his players’ legs. He’s also hoping to find more contributors off the bench heading into today’s game at Miami.

 

“They’ve never complained,” Lowe said. “They’ve just continued to fight and dig and believe in themselves. It’s something where ... we are who we are. You just strap it up and go.”

Four players have accounted for 82 percent of NC State’s points.  Late in the year and on the road, it will catch up to them.

 

This is a big sandwich game.  State stunned Virginia Tech and UNC only to give up 18 straight points and lose to GA Tech.  Now Maryland and a rematch with VA Tech are on the horizon, so this is a super tough spot.

 

Friday, February 09, 2007

Saturday BetOnSports360.com

2-10-07

VINCENT COMES THROUGH WITH NJ, NOW ESPN SEC GAME OF THE CENTURY SATURDAY NIGHT

The Great One told you in no uncertain terms to bet 10 times your normal amount on New Jersey as his Atlantic Division GAME of a GENERATION. Laying 4, they win 92-78. He goes to 5-1 all time with GAME of a GENERATION plays. Get Stevie Vincent’s SEC ESPN GAME of the CENTURY among 5 plays, 2 are Level 5.

The Great One has angles that are winning at rates of 92.3%, 90%, 91.6%, 90.9% and many more.  Stevie tells you what the angles are!!! It is $40 per day and less for long-term at www.BetOnSports360.com and even less for longer term pick packs. 

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

>>>LEVEL 3 PLAY is on ARKANSAS over lsu

Forensic ATS information on this game: LSU is 1-10 opponent called for 17 or less fouls, 5-14 v. teams w/ winning record, 4-11 opponent makes 45% or more of their shots, 2-11 playing 2nd game in a week, 0-6 home conference for the year, 0-8 home off road loss the last two years, 5-17 to conference, 2-15 Saturday games, 7-20 as a favorite, Arkansas 6-0 road underdogs, 7-0 underdogs, 9-2 off ATS loss,

 

Saturday Computer Trends

Saturday, February 10, 2007

To be more in line with the marketplace, MasterLockLine.com will be $16 per day beginning 3/1. Packages will also change accordingly. However to get you started in the principle of winning for years to come, you can until Sunday night, lock in now as all pick packs of a month or longer (MasterLockLine.com only) will be doubled.

CBB

·        Georgetown is on a 6-0-1 run

·        Virginia Commonwealth 13-2 to Old Dominion

·        UCLA is 11-4 their last 15 on the road

·        North Carolina 7-1 last eight at home

·        Towson is 8-2 their last 10

·        Western Kentucky 1-6 their last seven at home

·        Mississippi State 9-2 to Auburn

·        Louisville 7-2 to South Florida

·        Kansas 13-5 on the road

·        Oklahoma State is 1-7 their last eight

·        Oklahoma 12-3 to Baylor

·        Oregon State 7-2 to Arizona State

·        Colorado 2-11 their last 13 on the road

 

Friday GodsTips.com

Friday, February 09, 2007

CBB & NBA WG GO FRI, 7-1 NBA & 28-18 CBB RECENT RUNS

Center of the Handicapping Universe GodsTips.com has always been the place where most high rollers go for sustained winning.  We have the highest renewal rate in the industry bar none thanks to our pristine reputation.  This is the time of the year when most jump on the permanent bandwagon.  You tried the pretenders for football season before beginning the rest of your gambling life.

Red hot in college and NBA, we have two Majors and Wise Guy plays in both college and NBA.  Nobody will ever win as much as Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.com because nobody works harder. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NBA

PHILADELPHIA -1.5 LA Clippers

Call it a bizarre coincidence, but just as Denver has played worse since getting Allen Iverson, the Sixers have played much better. They are 7-4 their last 11 SU, including consecutive wins at home.

In the midst of a brutal road trip, the LA Clippers have failed miserably losing their last three by 12 twice and 17. “Our confidence has grown,” Sixers coach Maurice Cheeks said yesterday after practice at the Philadelphia College of Osteopathic Medicine. “Certainly, when you win games, the confidence is going to grow.

“I thought our guys, even though we didn’t get the results that we wanted [earlier this season], continued to play and continued to stay with the program.”

Two developments have helped the Sixers. One is Cheeks’ decision to start his two centers - 6-foot-11 Samuel Dalembert and 7-foot Steven Hunter - in the same lineup. The Sixers are 7-4 since Jan. 19, the first time the two big men started together.

Another development is the acquisition of point guard Andre Miller in the trade that sent Allen Iverson to Denver. Miller has been in the lineup for exactly half of the Sixers’ 50 games, and the team is 11-14. The Sixers were 6-19 before he arrived.

 

Friday Computer Trends

Friday, February 09, 2007

To be more in line with the marketplace, MasterLockLine.com will be $16 per day beginning 3/1. Packages will also change accordingly. However to get you started in the principle of winning for years to come, you can until Sunday night, lock in now as all pick packs of a month or longer (MasterLockLine.com only) will be doubled. Note: each night will be manually add the bonus days, so it may not show up immediately. 

CBB

·        Niagara 8-3 versus St. Peter’s

·        Manhattan 8-4 last 12

NBA

·        Memphis over 13-2 if they lost 8 or more of their previous 10 games

·        San Antonio under 15-3 opponent makes more than 36 percent of their 3 point attempts

·        Indiana 4-19 after a game in which 205 or more points were scored

·        Denver 1-6 skid

·        Miami 9-2 on the road

·        Golden State 7-1 home to Golden State

Thursday, February 08, 2007

Dooley Praises Fellow Homosexual

Three years ago, handicapping Oscar C. Dooley, the tardy stepchild of Scorephone.com, came out of the closet to admit he was gay. Middling former NBA center John Amaechi, nearly three years to the day, like Dooley, admitted he was gay.

 

According to Dooley, “John’s sexuality was well known in our community for years”.  Dooley, who is living with mate Joe Maverick called Amaechi, “a man of courage”.  

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