Sunday, February 24, 2008

Vegas Insider Handicapping Information, Betting Odds and ATS Picks

Boob Tube Not Always For Boobs

No pornographic intentions, but perhaps I did get your attention.  I am a proud parent of three awesome young kids.  A lot of what they watch actually can be educational, but there is also a bunch of garbage on TV.  For the handicapper there is a certain double edge sword about games they watch, including of course in person.  The sports packages now offered also on digital cable (except for the NFL) are an outstanding handicapping tool…or vice. The former should be relatively obvious—the more one scouts, the more knowledgeable one becomes.

However a precursor to a gambling deathblow is when I hear a gasbag tout a play because “I saw Sheboygan on TV the other night and they looked horrible.”  Gamblers make too many conclusions based on one game they’ve seen. For whatever reason, my unscientific study indicates such hotdoggers more times than not go against a team that looked horrible rather than with a team that looked great. The sharp player realizes if said clunker was aberrational, it is more likely to be a wake-up call. 

But the would-be hotshot apparently knows only what he saw and the shortsightedness won’t let him see anything else. 

Using a grand total of one or two games to predict the future is outlandish, yet a common offense among coach potatoes. Want to win more?  Some need to watch a lot more TV and others need to watch a lot less. Or maybe that’s where porn does come in. If you overreact to what you see on TV, watching nudity will get you in less trouble.

The Epicenter of Hypocrisy

We call our handicapping website, OffshoreInsiders.com  the Center of the Handicapping Universe. It looks like my old stomping ground of south Jersey is ready to become the center of gambling self-righteousness as we find out that Phoenix Coyotes coach Rick Tocchet led a, oh no—hide the women a children, a gambling ring.

Yes it’s true that domestic sports gambling is illegal outside of Vegas.  I don’t believe we can pick and choose which laws we obey based on whether we agree with them. But unless further details indicate these players and coaches involved bet on NHL games it’s a big non-story.

Just 10 miles down the road from where all hell broke loose is Camden, NJ a city that two major publications dubbed “America’s Worst City” because of crime, corruption, drugs, illiteracy, poverty and you name it.

Yet the boys in blue of the Garden State spend the tax dollars of my family and friends to bust a bunch of high profile people who committed the heinous crime of taking Villanova and St. Joseph’s under the total.

Like I’ve always said, they could actually tax what should be a legal activity and take the tariff revenue to fight things like crime, corruption, drugs, illiteracy, poverty or build schools.

It seems to me law enforcement in Mount Holly would be better off keeping drugs out of kids hands or even stuffing their pieholes with cheesesteaks.  Nah, let’s get those people who want to risk their own legally earned money on an over/under off the streets.  It will make me feel secure the next time I go to Ponzio’s Diner and get some black and white cookies.

It’s much ado about nothing.  What say you?

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