Monday, February 18, 2008

NBA Crib Sheet for Post All-Star Game Stretch Run

Here is a sample of the OffshoreInsiders.com crib sheet: trends and tendencies we look for in sports betting, then proactively exploit.

Get Healthy Charlotte Please

Anyone who has been a client of ours for years knows how much we exploit the dichotomous ATS and straight up teams. For those on the outside looking in, the teams that are most profitable for sharp players are top shelf teams that often win without covering or bottom dwellers that lose straight up but are able to cover the spread.

We have isolated the Bobcats as a strong candidate to keep on our radar screen. It has been a baptism by fire for first-year head coach Sam Vincent. He has learned from his early missteps, but continues to struggle with a shorthanded team.

"Leading scorer Gerald Wallace played in only one of the final six games entering the All-Star break, plus Raymond Felton, Matt Carroll and Derek Anderson all have bruised knees," points out Curt Thomas, full-time NBA handicapper for GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com.

Thanks to their home arena hosting three college basketball tournaments, Charlotte plays 15 of 21 games on the road in an upcoming stretch. A horrid 4-18 straight up on the highway before the break, safe to say they will be getting tons of points. Thus, they just need to be more competitive to cover. They don't need to win outright.

With a coach who has progressed with on the job training, a team that should, repeat should be healthier, they will be a more competitive team—the type of team that covers, but remains under the radar because they keep losing straight up.

Mavericks Go-Against in Three Games in Four Night Situations

The Mavericks blockbuster trade to get Jason Kidd will be a classic "step back to take two steps forward" move for the handicappers. The Mavs bench was already thin and they diluted it further to get the soon-to-be 35 year old legs of Kidd.

Losing DeSagana Diop makes them a smaller team in a conference that has most of the league's top big men. The move should help come playoff time, but we look to fade them against teams with quality big men and in unrested situations.

However, because of the trade, the public will perceive them as better and the oddsmakers must oblige.

Hawks and Over

Atlanta is one of the most underachieving teams in the league. They have two problems: coaching and point guard. Scratch the latter. Atlanta got Mike Bibby in a trade with the Kings. With Joe Johnson, the Hawks have a legitimate 1-2 punch.

The Hawks like to run and they got a necessary cog. We look for the Hawks to sneak up on the oddsmakers and also have a lot more high scoring games.

The author, Joe Duffy is part of Dream Team at GodsTips, the anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com. Check out all the free and premium information for sports betting at OffshoreInsiders.com  

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