Saturday, September 27, 2008

Illinois-Penn State Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini and the Penn State Nittany Lions will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Beaver Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Nittany Lions listed as 16-point favorites versus the Fighting Illini, while the game's total is sitting at 55.
Despite a furious comeback from the road team, Illinois held on to beat LA-Lafayette 20-17 in Week 3.
The Illini failed to cover the 25.5-point spread, and the combined points played UNDER the posted total of 62.
Daryll Clark tossed two touchdown passes as Penn State had little trouble beating Temple 45-3 in Week 4.
Penn State easily covered the 28.5-point spread, while the final score of 48 played UNDER the day's posted total of 54.
Current streak:
Illinois has won 2 straight games.
Penn State has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
Illinois: 2-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
Penn State: 4-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
Illinois most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Penn State most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Illinois's last 19 games on the road
Illinois is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Penn State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Penn State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Illinois
Penn State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Illinois
Next up:
Illinois at Michigan, Saturday, October 4
Penn State at Purdue, Saturday, October 4

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