We have the official betting preview of Connecticut and Louisville. The sportsbooks have Louisville a 3.5 point favorite with a total of 51.5. Connecticut is 4-0 straight up, but just 1-2 against the spread going over 2-of-3. The Cardinals are 2-1 straight up and 1-1 to the Vegas betting odds.
The Huskies have been very successful on offense getting 5.8 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 4.7. Their defensive numbers are average, allowing 4.5 yards per play to teams normally getting 4.6.
That describes the Louisville offense: average. They get 5.4 yards per play to teams allowing that same amount. This is not your Petrino's Cardinals. Their strength is on defense, allowing 1.9 yards per rush to teams normally getting 3.8 and 5.7 yards per pass to teams normally getting 6.1. That comes out to giving up 4.2 yards per play against teams normally allowing 5.1.
For those who bet college football quarter lines, note that Louisville fades late. They've allowed 27 points combined in the first three quarters, but 39 in the final quarter.
Keep in mind that this is only the Huskies second road game of the year, while Louisville has yet to play a road contest making this their fourth straight home game.
Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com says the key for Louisville is to be more careful with the ball. Their signal caller Tyler Lorenzen has already thrown six interceptions.
Who should one bet? The founder of the revolutionary science of forensic sports handicapping Stevie Vincent is absolutely unloading on this game. It's his Friday Night Big East Game of Two Centuries.
As far as Vegas betting trends are concerned, all records are against the spread: Louisville is 9-1 at home to opponents who average more than 200 rushing yards per game. They are 18-6 on the road after two straight nonconference games. The Cardinals are 20-8 after getting more than 200 yards rushing last game.
UConn is 8-2 on grass.
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