Thursday, September 25, 2008

Tulane-SMU Gambler's Preview


The SMU Mustangs take on the Tulane Green Wave. We have already given you the official college football handicapping preview of USC and Oregon State, now it's the Southern Methodist and Tulane preview.

The sportsbooks have Tulane as an 18 to 18.5 point favorite with the total a solid 49 across the board.

SMU enters 1-3 straight up and 0-2 versus the Vegas spread. Tulane is 1-2 straight up, but has covered all three games.

The Mustangs are playing their third road game in a six game stretch in which four are away from home. Conversely, Tulane is in the third of a four-game home stand.

The top football handicapper in the world, Mike Godsey of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com says that Tulane FB Kasey Stelly is one of the more underrated players in the country to the football betting experts. He is a tremendous blocker and his insertion into the starting lineup last week was big for the ball control aspect according to Godsey and his enormous contacts.

This could prove fatal for a Mustangs' defense which is ranked 116th nationally. Since SMU joined C-USA, the road team has won outright all three times.

However, as Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy preaches time in and time out, rankings can be a bit deceptive for the sports bettor. SMU's defense is bad, but the raw numbers are indicative of pace, not competence. They allow 5.4 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.8, 8.1 yards per pass to 7.4 and 6.7 yards per play to 6.1.

Tulane's defense has been wonderful, allowing 2.6 yards per rush to teams normally getting 4.5 and 4.3 yards per play to 5.5. Duffy says a +1.2 ratio is excellent, though it's early in the year and stats can only be so accurate.

Who should you bet on in this contest? The top sports handicapper off all time has the side and total. Here is the message from GodsTips: We added two Wise Guy MLB underdogs and four MLB Major plays added. You are right. Humiliating the bookmaker in college football betting and the NFL is not enough.

GodsTips goes 5-0 last night including the Braves +240 as a Wise Guy and the Cards on the runline -1.5 +170. In the midst of easily the greatest football season of any handicapper—again—we have the side and total for Southern Methodist-Tulane. Click now to purchase GodsTips five-day pass for just $67!

Spread betting information with all records against the spread: Tulane is 6-1 in the series. SMU is 21-40 to the Vegas number after scoring three points or less in the first half of their last game. They are also a rotten 17-35 in September.

The Vegas sportsbooks say the Green Wave are 6-17 in the conference.


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