Orioles-Yankees Who Will Cover?

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet at Yankee Stadium. The Orioles will trot Radhames Liz out to the mound in this one. Righthander Liz has a 6-5 record and a 6.90 ERA this season. Starting this game for the Yankees will be Carl Pavano. The righthander has a 5.26 ERA to go along with a 3-1 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 200-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game's total has not yet been posted. The Orioles lost the rubber match 3-2 to the Blue Jays as a +170 underdog on Thursday. The five runs went UNDER the posted over/under (10). Alex Cintron went 2-for-3 and drove in two runs for the Orioles. Garrett Olson allowed three runs over 5 2-3 innings in the loss. Bobby Abreu belted two home runs in leading the Yankees to a 9-2 win over the White Sox as -140 favorites on Thursday. The 11 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (8.5). Abreu finished 3-for-5 with six RBIs for the Yankees. Mike Mussina allowed one run over six innings to post the victory. Current streak: Baltimore has lost 2 straight games. New York has won 2 straight games. Team records: Baltimore: 67-84 SU New York: 82-71 SU Baltimore most recently: When playing on Friday are 6-4 Before playing NY Yankees are 6-4 After playing Toronto are 2-8 After a loss are 3-7 New York most recently: When playing on Friday are 5-5 Before playing Baltimore are 4-6 After playing Chi White Sox are 6-4 After a win are 5-5 A few trends to consider: The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees The total has gone OVER in 17 of Baltimore's last 25 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Baltimore NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore Next up: NY Yankees home to Baltimore, Saturday, September 20