UFC 97 odds - Don't underestimate Shogun

As the UFC 97 odds approach, it seems that Mauricio "Shogun" Rua (17-3) doesn't have a lot of MMA betting support. For one, he's a +145 sportsbook underdog; Liddell odds are set at -175. Second, UFC betting buzz has Dana White reportedly putting Rua's head on the chopping block entering the Rua vs Liddell odds. There's no denying Rua's immense talent, but his conditioning and dedication came into question after he labored through a fight with 44-year-old Mark Coleman at UFC 93. Though Rua eventually knocked Coleman out, he looked exhausted and soft, taking 14 minutes to finish the fight. If he doesn't at least show up in shape and make a strong showing, he could be axed from UFC betting.

In terms of sportsbook scouting, though, there's a big opportunity for savvy players in the UFC 97 odds. Look at the facts. Chuck Liddell (21-6), though a legend, is 39 years old; Rua is 27. Liddell has lost three of four fights; Rua has won five of six fights. Liddell has been knocked out twice by Quinton "Rampage" Jackson; Rua knocked out Quinton "Rampage" Jackson. Sportsbooks are inflating the Liddell odds based on legend, but he's set up for failure in the UFC 97 odds. He's lost some quickness, having been brutally knocked out by Jackson and Rashad Evans in recent fights, and a healthy, fit Rua definitely has the power—not to mention combinations—to knock the Iceman into next week.

Unless Rua surprises online betting fans by arriving for the fight with a beer belly, he'll be too much for Liddell to handle. Capitalize on this sportsbook oversight and bet on Rua to "upset" Liddell.

Online betting pick: Rua.