Friday, June 04, 2010

MLB Handicapping: Reds vs Nationals

 

Courtesy of OddsShark.com:

The Cincinnati Reds and the Washington Nationals will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Nationals Park.
The Reds will trot Aaron Harang out to the mound in this one. Righthander Harang has a 4-5 record and a 5.48 ERA this season.
The Nationals will counter Harang with Livan Hernandez. Righthander Hernandez has a 2.15 ERA to go along with a 4-3 record this season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Nationals listed as 116-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game's total has not yet been posted.
Sam LeCure surrendered three runs on six hits over 5 1-3 innings in the Reds' 4-1 loss to the Cardinals last time out. The Reds were +185 underdogs, while the five runs went UNDER the posted over/under (8) set by sportsbooks.
The Nationals lost to Houston 6-4 as a -130 favorite on Thursday. The 10 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).
Ryan Zimmerman was 2-2 with two runs scored for Washington and Josh Willingham was 2-4 with an RBI.
Current streak:
Washington has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Cincinnati: 31-23 SU
Washington: 26-29 SU
Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Washington are 4-6
After playing St. Louis are 7-3
After a loss are 8-2

Washington most recently:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
Before playing Cincinnati are 4-6
After playing Houston are 2-8
After a loss are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Next up:
Washington home to Cincinnati, Saturday, June 5

Stevie Vincent is literally 20-25 years ahead of the oddsmakers and they will be the first to admit. His forensic sports handicapping is groundbreaking and there is nothing the books have been able to do to stop him. 

 

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