Wednesday, January 24, 2007

The Super Bowl Enables You To Proposition and Make Money

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

I’ve already been asked by at least a baker’s dozen people about some of the best looking propositions.  Get your mind out of the gutter, I mean on the Super Bowl. There is not much debate that few players will be under the microscope more than Chicago quarterback Rex Grossman. That’s why one bet that jumps out at us is under 19 completions by him.

The easy, but false, presumption is to think Indianapolis and a wide open shootout. It’s no secret that the Colts biggest weakness on defense has been against the run, albeit the return of Bob Sanders has buoyed that unit.

Still teams actually pass less against the Colts than they do against other teams.  Indianapolis foes had a cumulative average of 18 completions on 31 passes, but when they play the Colts, foes throw about five fewer times, completing 17 passes. Do you expect Grossman to complete more than average?

With the successful and rested two-headed monster of Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson, we look for the Bears to keep Grossman’s passes to a minimum. Rex himself will make sure most are incomplete.

Mark Gold of CasinoBettingNews.com has been betting proposition plays since 1977, when he lived in Las Vegas. He says without question the best bet is Colts receiver Marvin Harrison go under six receptions.

While teammate Peyton Manning has taken heat for folding in big games, even when Manning had his watershed game in the AFC Championships, Harrison had only four catches for 41 yards.

Gold says, “Because Harrison is so universally respected as a class act, he has avoided the postseason scrutiny. But the facts are that many of his worst games have been the big ones.”

Also keep in mind, that Manning’s outdoor playoff record still leaves a lot to be desired so a lean towards the under in many of his personal propositions will lead to nice profits.

Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at www.GodsTips.com  

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