Thursday, April 02, 2009

Exclusive Official Baylor-Penn State Betting Preview of NIT Final

Here is the official betting preview of Baylor-Penn State in the 2009 NIT Championship game. The Bet Online odds have the Baylor Bears laying four points to the Nittany Lions, though BetUs Sportsbook has the spread at 3.5. The total is 138 according to Sports Betting Sportsbook.

Baylor enters with a 24-14 straight up record, but just 13-17 against the spread. Penn State is 26-11 outright and 18-12 to the basketball Vegas odds.

The Bears have proven to be an exceptional shooting team, making 46.8 percent of their shots against teams normally allowing 42.9. That translates to 76.4 points per game to teams that surrender a cumulative 69. Their defensive numbers are slightly above average.

Penn State's ratios are slightly above the median on both sides of the ball, most notably allowing just 62.6 points per game to teams normally getting 66.3.

The top college basketball handicapper ever, Joe Duffy of GodsTips restates a Golden Rule of betting that must be applied here and certainly in the Final 4. "A blunder that square gamblers make is considering neutral courts to be road games. A neutral game is exactly that—neither a home contest nor one on their opponents court."

Hence, Baylor has gone very well on neutral courts at 6-2 straight up with wins over Nebraska, Kansas, Texas, Arizona State, San Diego State and Providence. "That's an impressive resume," says Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com.

Penn State is 3-1 straight up on neutral courts though Towson State and Indiana are not nearly as imposing.

Some spread numbers, all against the spread: The Bears are 14-3 their last 17 on neutral courts. However, they are 1-7 their last eight as a favorite of 6.5 or less.

Penn State has covered 9-of-12 nonconference games but are 6-17 as underdogs of 6.5 or less. Baylor has gone under 10-2 versus an opponent winning percentage of .600 or greater.

Which side to bet on as far as both the side and totals go—the power of 620 sports services behind every selection has just that.

Statmaven Sports is No. 1 all-time on as far as plays that have risen to the level to be re-released. Rankings trace back to the 976-LOCK scorephone days through the SuperLockLine and are all-sports combined. In other words, their highest rated plays have proven since 1980 to be as good as any sports service. Fresh of a big winner on Phoenix last night, their top "on neutral courts" angle goes tonight on Baylor/Penn State side. Click now to purchase sports betting picks from the top sports services or you can get more information and a free sports pick

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