Monday, September 28, 2009

Free Baseball Betting Vegas Odds Pick

The Texas Rangers take on the Anaheim Angels in the only west coast game on the Monday Night betting card. Tommy Hunter is on the hill for Texas, Ervin Santana for the Halos.

Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com says take Texas and Hunter +155 at BetUs Sportsbook. Here is why:

Texas is 4-0 off a loss. Anaheim has dropped 4-of-5. Ervin Santana is one of those rare pitchers who are much better on the road than at home.

Santana has been decent on the road with a 4.34 ERA and .256 batting average against. But now he’s pitching at home where his ERA is 7.10 with a .335 batting average against. That is scary: a .335 batting average against in 52 home innings pitched. That’s why the Halos have dropped six straight with him as a home favorite.

The road team is 11-4 in his decisions and 15-6 overall in his starts. Conversely Tommy Hunter has pitched very well with a 3.67 ERA and 1.206 WHIP in 17 starts. Texas has won 9-of-13 with him on the hill and they are 11-6 +5.5 units with him overall. His road WHIP of 1.191 is much better than Santana’s 1.827 home WHIP. As sharp bettors know, WHIP is a much better key indicator than ERA.

Texas is 15-5 in the series. They’ve beaten Santana two straight getting 13 earned runs off of him in just 9 2/3 inning pitched. In fact, they have 17 hits in those 9 2/3 innings.

The Rangers are +15.5 units the last two years as underdogs of 125-175. Texas has won 7-of-8 Hunter starts on grass and they are 6-1 with Hunter after allowing five or more runs in their last game.

The pick: Texas Rangers +155.

Here are some more key betting notes on today’s MLB betting card:

·        Boston is 25-7 +19.2 units this year against teams that commit less than .5 errors per game.

·        Detroit’s Nick Blackburn has an 0-12 team record on the road the last two years against teams with a winning record.

·        The Mets have gone under 15-2 this year against teams with a winning percentage of .380 or less

·        Tampa is 22-46 -30.7 this year off consecutive road games.

·        Florida is an astounding 6-1 +10.7 units as road underdogs of +10.7 units.

·        The Dodgers are 17-3 +14.8 units off a one-run loss this year.

 

Units/won lost are based on one-unit per bet. Personal record is a pitcher’s record in his decisions including relief appearances.  Team record is how the team did in his starts whether or not he was involved in the decision.

For more information: Get another Monday free pick from a living legend handicapper Matt Rivers. For the ESPN Monday Night Football Panthers-Cowboys side and total, check out OffshoreInsiders.com    

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