Free Football Pick: Mississippi State vs. Louisiana State

Today's winner is a free pick from handicapper Matt Rivers the latest addition to the arsenal of world class handicappers at the top sports handicapping site OffshoreInsiders.com.

Matt says to go with Mississippi State plus 13 vs. LSU at BetUs Sportsbook.
 
Of course the LSU Tigers are the far more talented team when compared with Mississippi State but the Bulldogs are an improving program after the departure of Sylvester Croom and at home should be able to play some stout defense and compete today.
 
The Bayou Bengals are a perfect 3-0 so far on the season but if you dive into the games they really have not been all that impressive. I guess after Washington's shocker of USC the win in Corvallis does look better for Les Miles' squad but all in all these guys are really not a team that I fear all that much. The athleticism is there as usual with Jordan Jefferson running the show but the Quarterback is still a bit raw and mistake prone and on the road here laying a few touchdowns in conference is a bit steep. JJ hasn't thrown for over 200 yards yet in a game and that can certainly signal problems in a situation such as this against a dangerous enough State defense at home that can get after it a bit.
 
Mississippi State has been an improving program over the past few seasons. They are no longer the doormat of the SEC and most of the nation and we saw another indication of that last week as they went on the road and won at Vanderbilt against a solid Commodores squad. No I can't explain the bludgeoning the Bulldogs took in the end at Auburn a few weeks ago but I can tell you that they were winning outright with a few minutes to go in the first half and then seemed to just play about 34 minutes of bad football which I guess can happen on the road like that. Plus Auburn has gotten a tremendous amount better themselves and at home are going to be able to beat up a lot of incoming visitors and on that day State played that role.
 
Dan Mullen isn't going to have his team do anything too crazy today. Miss. State will run the ball and use that two Quarterback rotation with both Lee and Relf and attempt to shorten the game aginst the Tigers. There will be a lot of pounding and hitting and ugly football in this thing which is fine with me.
 
Running and defense, running and defense! Projected final score: 19-16 LSU.

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