Saturday, September 26, 2009

NFL Football Picks: Jaguars vs Texans

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Sunday when the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans meet at Reliant Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Texans listed as 4-point favorites versus the Jaguars, while the game's total is sitting at 47.
The Jaguars lost to Arizona 31-17 as a 3-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (44).
David Garrard passed for 282 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Jacksonville, while Mike Sims-Walker caught six passes for 106 yards and a TD.
The Texans defeated Tennessee 34-31 as a 7-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).
Matt Schaub passed for 357 yards with four touchdowns for Houston, while Andre Johnson caught 10 passes fir 149 yards with two touchdowns in the win.
Current streak:
Jacksonville has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Jacksonville: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS
Houston: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 3-7

Houston most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games
Jacksonville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Next up:
Jacksonville home to Tennessee, Sunday, October 4
Houston home to Oakland, Sunday, October 4

 

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