GodsTips

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

6-3 THIS WEEK, TWO WISE GUY NIGHT PLAYS

Anyone who cares about unceasing winning is a permanent client of Joe Duffy’s GodsTips.  For those not yet on the permanent money train, we are 6-3 this week, a cool 67 percent. We are so fired up about the bowls and have the midnight oil burning and the Café Britt brewing into the wee hours.

But America’s only full-time NBA handicapper Curt Thomas has some big plays tonight.  We have a total of four winners: one for 2:00 EST, the other three at night, including two night Wise Guy plays. You get the all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at the new home: OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NBA

INDIANA -6 Philadelphia

Among the many reasons we are truly the Industry Standard is that we don’t blindly bet systems.  Some we disregard under the right circumstances, others we realize the reasons behind a system working can apply, even if the pure parameters do not.

A five point or more road favorite of a SU loss as a dog is more than a 60 percent play since 1983. For a team to be more than a five-point road favorite, you are almost always talking about a superior team against a greatly inferior.  For that superior team to have been a dog the previous game, they likely were playing another top-notch team.  So it says that a superior team loses to another superior team and takes out their frustrations on the inferior team.

Again, Indiana lost as a 1.5 home favorite, but we believe the basic premise follows.  The superior team has the motivation to run weakened Philly into the ground.  They will.