Thursday, February 11, 2010

St. Marys vs. Gonzaga, U Mass-Duquesne Free Picks

The 2010 Winter Olympics odds are ready to go to the forefront, but the NCAA Basketball Odds have endless opportunities.

Matt Rivers has UMASS plus the points at Duquesne. They are getting 6.5 at Bodog

The days of Marcus Camby and Lou Roe and John Calipari are long gone as the Minutemen are in the midst of one of their worst seasons in a long time but who the heck is Duquesne to be laying such a number?

The Dukes have done a whole lot of nothing of late and are 12-11 overall. Ron Everhart's squad has alternated wins and losses for a few weeks now and if that pattern continues they are due to lose outright here.

UMASS has lost three in a row and 8 of 9. Like last night's huge 400,000* winner on a bad Fordham team plus the number I'm not going to act like my team is all that at all because they're not. I just do not believe that the Dukes are worthy of this respect.

There is somewhat of an upside at least for the visitors as they shocked Memphis earlier in the season and have stayed competitive even with all of the recent losses. These guys rarely just get whacked and to think Duquesne will win going away is a little silly.

Damian Saunders is a big boy who will be tough to contain. He will wreak havoc in the paint but his team overall is not very good and may or may not win this game. That about sums it all up for me. A seven or so point that may or may not win the game, ok, I'm in.

The pick from Matt Rivers: Massachusetts +6.5.

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Now to the wonderful ScoresOddsPicks.

St. Mary's at No. 11 Gonzaga (-5.5) – 11:00 p.m. ET

Gonzaga (19-4, 10-9-1 ATS) has won 11 of its last 12 games, with the lone loss coming in overtime at San Francisco. The winning success hasn't translated to the betting world; Gonzaga has covered two straight, but it lost four consecutive games against the spread before that. Overall, the Bulldogs are 4-5-1 ATS in their past 10 games. They've been a little better at home, though, winning four of their past six against the point spread.

St. Mary's (21-3, 16-6-1 ATS) has also won 11 of its past 12 games—but its long defeat came 89-82 at the hands of Gonzaga. The Gaels have been decent against the spread lately, going 3-1-1 in their last five outings. Playing on the road could be the best thing for them; St. Mary's is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight games.

The Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning eight of 10—including the most recent victory back in January. Not only has Gonzaga won outright most often, it's covered too, winning four of the past five meetings with St. Mary's against the spread. Gonzaga already took care of the Gaels on the road; it will do it again at home.

Pick: Gonzaga -6 at Bodog

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