Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Free Pick: Iowa State vs. Minnesota Insight Bowl

Matt Rivers, one of the best sports handicappers in the world, says go with the under in Iowa State/Minnesota game. The total is 48 at BetUs Sportsbook.   
 
I understand that the weather in
Tempe could be ripe for the offenses to move the ball a bit but there really aren't many playmakers to be able to move that ball. Neither the Cyclones nor the Golden Gophers enjoyed much success at all this season offensively but both teams do bring some game on defense.
 
The quarterbacks in Adam Weber and Austen Arnaud have had their share of struggles this season which could always mean turnovers and some points that way but you really can't bank on that and to ask each team to get around 24 points just seems like a lot.
 
Minnesota was shutout a few times this season and has scored a combined 16 points in their past two games. They have scored at times in games but now without Eric Decker and up against an Iowa State defense that has held some other teams I don't see much going on there.
 
Meanwhile the Gophers defense has shown themselves well at times also in allowing only 12 points at Iowa, 20 at Penn State and 13 against Air Force.
 
This game really does not have an upside of a 37-27 yet it could finish up 17-7 and I wouldn't be all that surprised. Therefore the value is on the under.

Free sports pick: Iowa State under

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