Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Wednesday Free Pick

Matt Rivers is red hot. He's the top ranked college football handicapper of all time. In addition to a tremendous premium card, he has a free pick Northwestern plus the points in collegiate basketball.

Almost across-the-board sportsbooks have Illinois laying seven.
 
Illinois at home is superior to Northwestern and I guess should prevail today but why not take a stab on the improving Wildcats who have broken into the top 25?
 
At 10-1 Bill Carmody's team is on complete fire in the early going and they have done this all without their main man in Kevin Coble. Michael Thompson and John Shurna have stepped up in a major way and this team right now is pretty legitimate. I'm not saying they will win here and improve to 11-1 legitimate but they could and getting blown out to a good, but far from great, Illinois team just should not happen either.
 
The 'Cats have won 9 in a row according to the college basketball match-ups and have beaten quality enough foes in Notre Dame, Stanford, Iowa State and NC State. Illinois may be better than most of those four but not by much as Bruce Weber's team showed in that poor loss at Georgia to a still bad Bulldogs squad as the 9 point chalk. In the last game they were fully outclassed by Missouri and don't exactly have much momentum coming into this thing.
 
The bottom line is that Illinois is laying too many points to a Northwestern team that is still underrated despite proving they are a ton better than in the past.
 
Don't be shocked to see a competitive game that comes down to the bitter end. Again Rivers says take Northwestern +7.

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