Saturday, December 19, 2009

NFL Handicapping: Patriots vs Bills

Courtesy of OddsShark.com
The fans at Ralph Wilson Stadium will be treated to a game between the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game's total is sitting at 41.
The Patriots defeated Carolina 20-10 as a 12.5-point favorite in Week 14. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43.5).
Tom Brady passed for 192 yards with a touchdown and an interception for New England, while Wes Welker caught 10 passes for 105 yards.
The Bills defeated Kansas City 16-10 as a 2.5-point favorite in Week 14. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (38).
Fred Jackson rushed for 99 yards on 20 carries for Buffalo, while Ryan Fitzpatrick passed for 86 yards with a touchdown and an interception.
Team records:
New England: 8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS
Buffalo: 5-8 SU, 7-6 ATS
New England most recently:
When playing in December are 9-1
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 6-4

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in December are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 2-8
A few trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Buffalo's last 21 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing at home against New England
Next up:
New England home to Jacksonville, Sunday, December 27
Buffalo at Atlanta, Sunday, December 27
 

 

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