Friday, December 04, 2009

Wisconsin vs. Hawaii Line and Pick

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In fact that stud has a pick on Hawaii plus the points. They are getting 12.5 at Bet Online.  
 
Timmy Chang is long gone, Colt Brennan is long gone and June Jones is long gone. But you know what? Hawaii is playing the best ball of their season right now and even with quarterback Greg Alexander still out, which he has been for awhile, I don't mind this spot with the home Rainbows plus such a solid number.
 
We all know how teams travel to the islands and basically take the week off. These are 18, 19 and 20 year old kids who are going to party on the beach. That is a bona fide fact. Plus this game is just not that big for Wisconsin as they are 8-3 and are not qualiying for a BCS bowl. Therefore 8-4 vs. 9-3 just means one step difference in what Bowl game they go to and all in all leads to very little motivation.
 
Bret Bielema is a solid coach who will do his part to get his guys motivated to come to play but it's just not that easy. These kids will act like they care and then go out and surf the waves while sneaking alcohol. John Clay is a great running back and could come in drunk here and still rumble for 150 yards but I do not believe that Scott Tolzien is much better than average and the Hawaii players will load the box and make him have to throw the ball to Nick Toon and the mediocre receivers.
 
Greg McMackin is not a great coach at all but he has his guys peaking right now and ready to play their biggest game of the season against a Big Ten foe. In that last game UH upset Navy as the 10 or so point home dog and comes into this thing on a four game winning streak.
 
If this game was in Madison we could be looking at Clay chewing up 250 yards and a total burial in the neighborhood of 41-7. But things are a lot more difficult for the Badgers with all of the various factors involved in this game and I think they stumble a little in a subpar effort.
 
In the end this thing is going to be tight enough for a Hawaii cover.
 
27-24 Wisconsin is my pick.

For more information: The master of college football betting match-up is Rivers. Superstar Matt Rivers has so much insight on these games, it's almost not fair. Just read the analysis and you will see why Matt Rivers was the winningest handicapper ever on a large network of handicapping sites before being promoted to The Show.

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