Monday, February 05, 2007

February Basketball Handicapping and More

God’s Tid-Bets, Vol. 24

Joe Duffy (www.OffshoreInsiders.com)

This is the latest in a series of a Godgepodge of sports betting strategy and other sports handicapping and gaming issues.

College Home Court Advantage Decreasing This Time of Year

In our articles over the years, we’ve alluded to it before, but do not forget this is the time of the year the home/road splits lessen significantly. That is, weak road teams have the biggest upside while their price decreases.

This is especially so in the major conferences where many of the most top teams have freshmen studs playing key roles and played few road games before conference play. The frosh adapt to road play and teams that play cupcake schedules early peak late.

It’s not like teams need to fine-tune to playing at home, but they certainly do when it comes to playing in hostile enemy courts. The biggest improvement that we see, come early to mid-February, is road play of young teams that played mostly neutral and home games in pre-conference play.

Somebody Train These Radio Sports Update Guys

With the FCC punishing radio and television left and right, how about handing out six figure fines to the most offensive thing I hear on radio all the time? I’m speaking of when a knucklehead on a sports update calls a game an “upset” when it’s not.

These dunces think just because a team is higher ranked, losing in an upset.  Any handicapper knows this is far from always the case.  If a sports announcer calls a an upset and the winning team does not cover the spread, that broadcaster should be relegated to spinning Kevin Federline and Don Johnson records for the rest of his life.

Is Vegas behind the War on Offshore Betting?

Theories abound as to why in the age, one would think, when our government has higher priorities; they have offshore sportsbooks in their crosshairs.  I’m not a conspiracy theorist, but I cannot help but wonder if the land based casinos put pressure on the government.

As quoted in CasinoBettingNews.com, Las Vegas saw a whopping 336 percent increase in football betting in November of 2006 from the same month in 2005.  We report, you decide. 

Joe Duffy’s sports betting selections are at www.GodsTips.com   

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