Sunday, January 10, 2010

NFL Odds: Ravens vs Patriots

Courtesy of Offshoreinsiders.com

The Baltimore Ravens and the New England Patriots will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Gillette Stadium in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 4-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total is sitting at 43.
The Ravens defeated Oakland 21-13 as a 10-point favorite in Week 17. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (39).
Willis McGahee rushed for 167 yards and three touchdowns on 16 carries for Baltimore and Ray Rice rushed for 70 yards on 14 carries.
The Patriots lost to Houston 34-27 as a 7.5-point underdog in Week 17. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (47).
Tom Brady passed for 186 yards with an interception for New England and Fred Taylor rushed for 33 yards and two touchdowns on seven carries.
Team records:
Baltimore: 9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS
New England: 10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS
Baltimore most recently:
When playing in January are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

New England most recently:
When playing in January are 6-4
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

 

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