Wednesday, April 07, 2010

Masters 2010 Odds: Tiger Woods Proposition Bets

I suppose the only way Tiger Woods could possibly draw more sports betting interest right now would be if he appeared on Dancing With the Stars between rounds at the Masters this week. But, even without his dance shows,Tiger is producing a madhouse at every sportsbook from Bodog to BetUs.

Here's a look at some of the most interesting Tiger props out there at the moment (with picks, of course).

Opening tee shot: where will it land?

Fairway: -225

Other: +163

Today's free pick: Fairway -225. The popular bet may be for a nervous Tiger to miss the fairway on his opening tee shot, but I ain't buying it. For one, his biggest jitters may have come and gone already, as his first practice round was actually his first exposure to a gallery since the scandal. He should be readier on Thursday and it just isn't in his blood to crumble under pressure.

How will Tiger score on his first hole of the tournament?

Par: -188

Bogey: +275

Birdie: +400

Double Bogey or worse: +1400

Eagle: +10000

Today's free pick: Par -188. Even if he isn't shaking in his boots, I still expect Tiger to play conservatively on Thursday just to get his feet wet. For that reason, I don't see him hitting a particularly good or bad shot on the first hole. That should set him up for a par.

What will Tiger's opening-round score be?

64 or less: +1600

65-66: +1000

67-68: +400

69/70: +250

71-72: +275

73-74: +500

75 or more: +350

Today's free pick: 69-70 +250. I think that's the score that best reflects a conservative approach. I don't see him taking many risks, meaning he won't break par often but also won't bogey often.

Will Tiger put a ball in the water?

Yes: -163

No: +120

Today's free pick: No +120. When Tiger misses, it's with his driver, not his irons. Any rust will result in Tiger finding trees off the tee, not splashing his approach shots. He's just not a guy who finds the water often.

What will Tiger's driving accuracy be?

Over 62.5 per cent: -120

Under 62.5 per cent: -120

Today's free pick: Under 62.5 per cent -120. Even pre-scandal Tiger had trouble hitting fairways last season, so I assume rusty Tiger should have even more trouble keeping the ball straight off the tee this week.

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