Sunday, December 30, 2007

Music City Bowl: Florida State Seminoles vs. Kentucky Wildcats

 The line has moved nine points since odds were posted on the Music City Bowl and not because Kentucky is a big powerhouse. An academics controversy at Florida State rendered 36 players ineligible for the game, taking the game from a near PK on the betting line to -10 in favor of the Wildcats. Kentucky started strong, but lost four of the their last five games to end up here at LP Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Wildcats listed as 3-point favorites versus the Seminoles, while the game's total has not yet been posted.
Florida State was outscored in the second half of a 45-12 loss at Florida last time out, falling as 14-point road underdogs. The 57 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 59.5.
Drew Weatherford went 19-for-36 for 181 yards, while Preston Parker ran 14 times for 57 yards for the 'Noles.
Kentucky dropped a heartbreaking 52-50 decision to Tennessee in quadruple overtime last time out. The Wildcats had been favored by 2.5 points in the contest, while the 102 points sailed OVER the posted total of 64.
Andre' Woodson led the Wildcats with 430 yards passing with six TD strikes, and completed 39-of-61 pass attempts.
Team records:
Florida State: 7-5 SU, 4-7-1 ATS
Kentucky: 7-5 SU, 6-5 ATS
Florida State most recently:
When playing in December are 3-0
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Kentucky most recently:
When playing in December are 1-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
Florida State is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kentucky is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
Kentucky is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

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