Monday, December 31, 2007

Sugar Bowl: Hawaii Warriors vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia might be the nation's best team and possibly deserves to be playing for the title. They face a Hawaii team that fought with critics all season over the schedule (ranked the easiest among all 119 Division 1 teams). Heisman finalist Colt Brennan leads the Warriors against a Bulldogs team that won six straight to finish the season in the tough SEC.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bulldogs listed as 8-point favorites versus the Warriors, while the game's total is sitting at 69.
The Warriors scored 14 points in the fourth quarter last time out to beat the Washington Huskies 28-21 and keep their record perfect on the season.
The Warriors failed to cover the 13.5-point spread at home in that contest, while the combined score fell well UNDER the night's posted total (75).
The Bulldogs had 219 yards rushing in a 31-17 win over the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets last time out. Georgia easily covered the 3.5-point spread on the road, while the 48 points made it OVER the posted total of 46.
Matthew Stafford was good on 14 pass attempts for 214 yards with a touchdown, and ran for a TD to lift the Bulldogs.
Team records:
Hawaii: 12-0 SU, 4-6 ATS
Georgia: 10-2 SU, 7-4 ATS
Hawaii most recently:
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When an underdog on the road are 1-9
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Georgia most recently:
When playing in January are 5-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When favored at home are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games
Hawaii is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Hawaii is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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