Monday, December 31, 2007

Rose Bowl: Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Southern Cal Trojans

Illinois already enjoyed their bowl game - an upset win on the road at Ohio State. But they will happily add Rose Bowl champions to the list of accomplishments in their unlikely 9-3 season. USC meanwhile shakes off the disappointment of a season gone wrong with losses to try to capture a 23rd Rose Bowl at Pasadena.
Oddsmakers currently have the Trojans listed as 14-point favorites versus the Fighting Illini, while the game's total is sitting at 50.
Illinois rushed for 341 yards in a 41-22 win over Northwestern last time out, covering the 14-point home spread. The 63 points scored were OVER the posted total of 58.
Juice Williams was 15-for-23 for 220 yards, one touchdown and one interception, while running for 136 yards and two scores. Rashard Mendenhall had 27 carries for 124 yards and a pair of touchdowns for the Illini.
USC held UCLA to 167 yards and forced four turnovers in a 24-7 win last time out, failing to cover the 18.5-point home spread. The 31 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 46.
John David Booty was 19-for-34 for 191 yards, one touchdown and a pick, while Joe McKnight had 13 carries for 90 yards for the Trojans.
Team records:
Illinois: 9-3 SU, 7-4 ATS
Southern Cal: 10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS
Illinois most recently:
When playing in January are 0-1
When playing on grass are 1-9
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

Southern Cal most recently:
When playing in January are 5-1
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When favored at home are 9-1
A few trends to consider:
Illinois is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Illinois is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Southern Cal's last 10 games
Southern Cal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Southern Cal is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
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