This is Part-3 where the Center of the Handicapping Universe Joe Duffy's GodsTips.com breaks down the statistical comparisons of the bowl games. This report entails games of Dec. 28-Dec. 29.
Michigan State-Boston College
To say the least, these two teams are closely matched statistically on both sides of the ball. BC does get 3.3 more first downs per game but they are dead even in yards per play. Michigan State gets 93.5 more rushing yards per game but Boston College accrues 103.8 more passing yards. It's a net edge of 10.3 for the Eagles.
However, the Spartans do get .9 more rushing yards per attempt and .8 more passing yards per reception.
Boston College allows19.9 fewer total yards per game on .7 less yards per play and 66 fewer rushing yards per game. However, MSU allows 46.1 fewer passing yards per game. In the key areas of yards per play, BC has the upper hand in rushing yards per attempt allowed of 1.6, passing yards per attempt of .6 and passing yards per reception of .9. Even the turnover ratio is close with Mich State having a net edge of two.
TCU-Houston
It's Houston as the mathematically superior team on the offensive side of the ball, but TCU on defense. Houston gets 3.7 more first downs per game, 124.8 more yards, 1.4 more yards per play. This is on 1.3 more rushing yards per attempt, 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.2 more passing yards per reception. The Cougars also complete 9.5 more percent of the passes.
The only exception to Houston winning every offensive and TCU every defensive matchup is Houston allowing 2.6 less percent pass completions on defense. Other than that, the Horned Frogs are allowing 46.6 fewer total yards per game, on 1.1 less yards per play. The biggest edge is in yards per catch allowed at 3.6.
Maryland-Oregon State
Oregon State has slight total yards advantages on both sides of the ball, but not so much in all the yards per rush/pass/play categories. OSU has a 20.3 yards per game upper hand on offense. However the Terps get a slight .2 yards per play edge. Maryland gets 1.8 more passing yards per attempt and 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Terrapins also complete 8.8 more percent of the passes.
Oregon State allows 42.9 less yards per game and .8 less yards per play. Maryland though does allow 18.8 fewer passing yards. The Beavers allow 1.8 fewer rushing yards per attempt, but Maryland allows .2 less passing yards per attempt and 1.9 less passing yards per reception. Oregon State allows 7.4 less percent of their opponents passes to be completed. Maryland has a turnover ratio advantage of six.
Central Florida-Mississippi State
Central Florida has accrued 121.3 more total yards per game on 1.4 more yards per play. UCF gets 1.6 more rushing yards per attempt and 1.6 more passing yards per attempt as well as 1.3 more passing yards per reception. The Golden Eagles complete 7.2 more percent of their passes.
Mississippi State has the advantage in more defensive categories though. They allow 66.1 less passing yards, though Central Florida allows 27.9 less rushing yards. The biggest edge is in turnover ratio where UCF is 10 better.
Penn State-Texas A&M
The teams could not be closer offensively with A&M getting a measly 3.8 more yards per game but they are dead even in yards per play and close in ever other category.
Penn State sweeps the defense, allowing 109.4 less yards per game on 1.3 less yards per play. The Nittany Lions allow 1.5 less rushing yards per attempt and 1.3 passing yards per attempt.
The Aggies have a turnover ratio of seven better.
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