Monday, December 31, 2007

Outback Bowl: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee had its chance at a BCS Bowl but lost to LSU in the SEC Championship game. Now, they head to Raymond James Stadium to take on Wisconsin the Outback Bowl. The Badgers, who finished 9-3 in the Big Ten but were awful ATS, will try to vanquish an SEC school in a bowl game for the third straight season.
Oddsmakers currently have the Volunteers listed as 2-point favorites versus the Badgers, while the game's total is sitting at 58.
The Badgers gave up two touchdowns in the fourth quarter, but held off the Minnesota Golden Gophers for a 41-34 win last time out. Wisconsin failed to cover the 14-point spread on the road, but the 75 points sailed OVER the posted total of 59.5.
Zach Brown led the Badgers with two touchdowns from 29 carries for 250 yards in the win.
Tennessee allowed 463 yards in a 21-14 loss to LSU last time out in the SEC title game, falling as 7-point road underdogs. The 35 points scored were UNDER the posted total of 59.
Erik Ainge was 20-for-40 for 249 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions, and Josh Briscoe caught nine passes for 73 yards and a major for the Volunteers.
Team records:
Wisconsin: 9-3 SU, 4-7 ATS
Tennessee: 9-4 SU, 7-4-2 ATS
Wisconsin most recently:
When playing in January are 4-2
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 10-0

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in January are 4-5
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
Wisconsin is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
Wisconsin is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

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