Sunday, December 30, 2007

Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force Falcons vs. California Golden Bears

The Air Force Falcons were 9-3 on the year and dominated ATS, while Cal disappointed bigtime after being ranked No. 2 at one point. The Golden Bears and Falcons meet December 31 at Amon Carter Stadium in the Armed Forces Bowl.
Oddsmakers currently have the Golden Bears listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game's total is sitting at 55.
Air Force rushed for 569 yards in a 55-23 win over San Diego State last time out, covering the 13-point road spread. The 78 points scored were OVER the posted total of 53.5.
Shaun Carney was 8-for-14 for 101 yards and a pick, while running for 77 yards and a score. Jim Ollis added 163 yards and two touchdowns for the Falcons.
California was defeated 20-13 by Stanford last time out, as 13.5-point favorites. The combined 33 points were well UNDER the posted total of 53.
Robert Jordan caught five passes for 109 yards with a TD in the loss.
Team records:
Air Force: 9-3 SU, 9-2 ATS
California: 6-6 SU, 3-9 ATS
Air Force most recently:
When playing in December are 4-4
When playing on grass are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 4-6

California most recently:
When playing in December are 5-3
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 9-1
A few trends to consider:
Air Force is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 6 games
California is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
California is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
California is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

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