Monday, December 31, 2007

Cotton Bowl: Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers

It will be a battle of Heisman finalists when the Arkansas Razorbacks and the Missouri Tigers lock up January 1 in the Cotton Bowl. Running back Darren McFadden leads a potent Razorback ground game (that put up nearly 600 yards against South Carolina) while Missouri quarterback Chase Daniel leads the tough Mizzou Tigers.
Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 4-point favorites versus the Razorbacks, while the game's total is sitting at 68.
Arkansas racked up 518 yards in a 50-48 triple-overtime win at LSU last time out, coming in as 13.5-point road underdogs. The 98 points scored were OVER the posted total of 58.5.
Casey Dick was 10-for-18 for 94 yards and a touchdown, and Darren McFadden ran for 206 yards and three majors on 32 carries for the Razorbacks.
Missouri was defeated 38-17 by Oklahoma last time out, as 3-point underdogs. The 55 points were UNDER the posted total of 65.
Chase Daniel led Missouri with 219 yards passing and scored a running touchdown in the game.
Team records:
Arkansas: 8-4 SU, 7-4 ATS
Missouri: 11-2 SU, 9-3 ATS
Arkansas most recently:
When playing in January are 1-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Missouri most recently:
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 9-1
After playing Oklahoma are 2-5
A few trends to consider:
Arkansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
Missouri is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Missouri's last 6 games
Missouri is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

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