Broncos-Texans Preview

The Denver Broncos travel to Houston to take on the Texans. Sportsbooks have varying odds depending on the juice, but the consensus sees Denver as a one-point favorite with a total of 47.5.

Much of the information in this report is compiled from the top previews from around the Internet of interest to the do-it-yourself handicapper!

In location comparison (home team's home stats, road team's road stats), the Texans do have the edge. They get 25.5 points per game compared to 20.5 for Denver, but are those stats genuine? Sports betting expert Joe Duffy points out that in the home/road breakdown the points per game numbers notwithstanding, Denver gets 362.7 total yards per game compared to just 316.8 for Houston.

It's similar on defense. Denver allows 29.7 points per game on the road, compared to Houston 19.0 at home. Yet Denver gives up 321.3 total yards per game compared to 320.0 for Houston.

In overall stats for the year, incredibly each team gives up 4.5 yards per rush while Denver gives up a nominal .2 more yards per pass. The Broncos on offense average 4.6 yards per rush compared to Houston at only 3.6.

The Texans are without starting quarterback Matt Schaub, but his replacement Sage Rosenfels is 2-0 straight up at a starter. Starting running back Ron Dayne is doubtful for Houston.

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Here are spread betting trends (all records against the spread): Denver is 1-10 off us win, yet 6-1 off a win of 14 or more. The Texans are 9-20 off a straight up victory.

As far as over/unders, Denver has exceeded the total in 17-of-21.

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